Stars vs. Mammoth Prediction, Odds and Picks for November 28 NHL Matchup

Game overview

The Utah Mammoth visit the Dallas Stars on Friday, November 28, with puck drop scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (Saturday 1:00 a.m. local time in Dallas at American Airlines Center). Dallas enters at 15-5-4, while Utah comes in at 12-9-3. The teams met four times last season, with Dallas winning three of those games, although each contest was tightly contested and decided by a single goal.

Moneyline, spread and total

Dallas is priced as a home favorite around -135 to -146 on the moneyline, with Utah in the underdog role in the +115 to +122 range. The puck line has the Stars as -1.5 goal favorites, with Dallas around +172 to cover and Utah roughly -215 to keep the game within one goal. The main total is listed at 5.5 or 6.0 goals depending on the book, with slight juice shaded toward the over at 5.5 and standard pricing around 6.0.

Team form and betting trends

Dallas is 2-3 in its last five overall games and also 2-3 against the spread in that stretch, reflecting some recent inconsistency. The Stars are 7-6 against the spread in road games, but their home results have been more mixed, with totals going over in 5 of their last 11 home contests. Utah is 3-2-3 across its last eight games, and only one of those matchups ended in a loss by more than one goal, underscoring how competitive the Mammoth have been.

Over/under profile

On the season, the Stars are 11-13 to the over overall, going 5-6 to the over at home and 6-7 to the over on the road. Utah has also produced an 11-13 over/under record, with a 5-6 mark to the over at home and 6-7 on the road. Three of the four meetings between these teams last season stayed under the total, and Utah’s low-shot-allowed style combined with Dallas’ scheduling fatigue points many handicappers toward another lower-scoring game.

Analytical predictions and best bets

One projection model calls for a 4–2 Dallas win with a total of roughly 6.2 goals, favoring the over 5.5 and supporting a Stars moneyline edge. Another projection gives Dallas about a 61.3% win probability, aligning with the favorite status implied by the current odds. At the same time, some analysts prefer Utah +1.5 on the puck line and under 6.0 goals, citing Utah’s ability to keep games close and the likelihood of a tighter, slower-paced matchup.

TV and viewing info

The matchup is part of Friday’s NHL slate and is carried on national and regional sports outlets depending on the viewing market, with availability varying by location and provider. Fans can also follow along through major sportsbook apps and live-score services that track moneyline, puck line, and total movement in real time.

“Dallas is back home, but this will be their third game in four days, and the Stars have actually been more consistent on the road than at home. Utah is 3-2-3 over its last eight games, and only one of those resulted in a loss by more than a single goal.”

Author’s summary

Balanced matchup with Dallas as the justifiable favorite on home ice, but Utah’s close-game profile and defensive structure make the under and Mammoth +1.5 attractive angles for value-focused bettors.

FOX Sports — 2025-11-28