Japan's staple rice production is expected to total 7.11 million tons in 2026, a decrease of 370,000 tons from 2025, according to the agriculture ministry.
The estimate was submitted to a meeting of a subgroup of a ministry panel on agriculture policies and is based on factors such as an increase in foreign visitors to the country.
Agriculture minister Norikazu Suzuki has vowed to reverse the previous government's policy to increase rice production, emphasizing the importance of "demand-based production" to prevent rice price falls.
The forecast is used by farmers as a reference for rice planting and reflects the new administration's approach to agriculture policies under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
Author's summary: Japan's rice production to fall in 2026.